The future is COMPLEX and UNSAFE, generating uncertainty and unfamiliarity in the decision-making process.
Projects, M&A, Sales are decided at management meetings, based on the assumptions about Risk and Future Chances
When assumptions and critical success factors are combined, we arrive at a number of combinations, making the decision too complex and increasing insecurity.
The reduction of complexity and the possibility of reviewing decision-making assumptions are very relevant in environments of high volatility and ambiguity
IPDES develops a procedure with a view to:
- Reduce COMPLEXITY.
- Increase the TRANSPARENCY of impacts.
- Check Strategies in Alternative Scenarios.
- View, in the Time Tunnel, the impacts of STRATEGIC DECISIONS.
The process of developing Future Vision takes place in three different dimensions:Developing SCENARIOS requires identifying and correlating the most relevant future facts, through a PROCESS involving several decision levels
Developing SCENARIOS requires identifying and correlating the most relevant future facts, not through one person, but through a PROCESS involving several people:
The development of STRATEGIES is carried out and decided by
ACTIONS always “run after the facts”.
Sorting Scenarios, Strategies and Actions in line is only possible with
